Scientific Articles

AMPERE Rejoinder to review by Rich Rosen

Rejoinder to the review of the article „Making or breaking climate targets – the AMPERE study on staged accession scenarios for climate policy“ by Rich Rosen in Technological Forecasting and Social Change

ampere_rejoinder_critique_rosen_2015_04_14.pdf


AMPERE special issue on climate stabilisation published in Technological Forecasting and Social Change

Overview papers

Kriegler et al. (2015): Introduction to the AMPERE model intercomparison studies on the economics of climate stabilization. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90, Part A:1–7. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2014.10.012. View article as PDF or on the journal website

Riahi et al. (2015) Locked into Copenhagen pledges — Implications of short-term emission targets for the cost and feasibility of long-term climate goals. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90, Part A:8–23. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2013.09.016. View article as PDF or on the journal website.

Kriegler et al. (2015) Making or breaking climate targets: The AMPERE study on staged accession scenarios for climate policy. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90, Part A:24–44. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2013.09.021. View article as PDF or on the journal website.

Kriegler et al. (2015) Diagnostic indicators for integrated assessment models of climate policy. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90, Part A:45–61. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2013.09.020. View article as PDF or on the journal website.

Cross cut papers

Bertram et al. (2015) Carbon lock-in through capital stock inertia associated with weak near-term climate policies. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90, Part A:62–72. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2013.10.001. View article as PDF or on the journal website.

Bauer et al. (2015) CO2 emission mitigation and fossil fuel markets: Dynamic and international aspects of climate policies. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90, Part A:243–256. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2013.09.009. View article as PDF or on the journal website.

Eom et al. (2015) The impact of near-term climate policy choices on technology and emission transition pathways. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90, Part A:73–88. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2013.09.017. View article as PDF or on the journal website.

Schwanitz et al. (2015) The implications of initiating immediate climate change mitigation — A potential for co-benefits? Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90, Part A:166–177. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2014.01.003. View article as PDF or on the journal website.

Schaeffer et al. (2015) Mid- and long-term climate projections for fragmented and delayed-action scenarios. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90, Part A:257–268. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2013.09.013. View article as PDF or on the journal website.

Model-specific papers

Johnson et al. (2015) Stranded on a low-carbon planet: Implications of climate policy for the phase-out of coal-based power plants. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90, Part A:89–102. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2014.02.028. View article as PDF or on the journal website.

Iyer et al. (2015) Diffusion of low-carbon technologies and the feasibility of long-term climate targets. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90, Part A:103–118. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2013.08.025. View article as PDF or on the journal website.

Criqui et al. (2015) Mitigation strategies and energy technology learning: An assessment with the POLES model. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90, Part A:119–136. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2014.05.005. View article as PDF or on the journal website.

Bibas et al. (2015) Energy efficiency policies and the timing of action: An assessment of climate mitigation costs. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90, Part A:137–152. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2014.05.003. View article as PDF or on the journal website.

Bollen et al. (2015) The value of air pollution co-benefits of climate policies: Analysis with a global sector-trade CGE model called WorldScan. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90, Part A:178–191. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2014.10.008. View article as PDF or on the journal website.

Sano et al. (2015) Assessments of GHG emission reduction scenarios of different levels and different short-term pledges through macro- and sectoral decomposition analyses. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90, Part A:153–165. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2013.11.002. View article as PDF or on the journal website.

Arroyo-Currás et al. (2015) Carbon leakage in a fragmented climate regime: The dynamic response of global energy markets. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90, Part A:192–203. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2013.10.002. View article as PDF or on the journal website.

Paroussos et al. (2015) Assessment of carbon leakage through the industry channel: The EU perspective. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90, Part A:204–219. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2014.02.011. View article as PDF or on the journal website.

Otto et al. (2015) Impact of fragmented emission reduction regimes on the energy market and on CO2 emissions related to land use: A case study with China and the European Union as first movers. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90, Part A:220–229. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2014.01.015. View article as PDF or on the journal website.

Marcucci et al. (2015) Induced technological change in moderate and fragmented climate change mitigation regimes. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90, Part A:230–242. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2013.10.027. View article as PDF or on the journal website.


AMPERE papers on EU decarbonisation in Energy Strategy Reviews

Capros et al. (2014): European decarbonisation pathways under alternative technological and policy choices: A multi-model analysis. View article as PDF or on the journal website.

Capros et al. (2014): Description of models and scenarios used to assess European decarbonisation pathways. View article as PDF or on the journal website.


AMPERE paper on model evaluation in Environmental Modelling & Software

Schwanitz, V.J. (2013): Evaluating integrated assessment models of global climate change. View article as PDF or on the journal website.


Paper on climate policy and fossil fuel subsidies in Energy Policy

Schwanitz et al. (2014): Long-term climate policy implications of phasing out fossil fuel subsidies. View article as PDF or on the journal website.


Paper on decarbonization and decomposition analysis in Energy Economics

Marcucci A, Fragkos P (2015) Drivers of regional decarbonization through 2100: A multi-model decomposition analysis. Energy Economics 51:111–124. doi: 10.1016/j.eneco.2015.06.009. View article as PDF or on the journal website.


Paper on non-CO2 radiative forcing in Climatic Change

Harmsen JHM, van Vuuren DP, van den Berg M, et al (2015) How well do integrated assessment models represent non-CO2 radiative forcing? Climatic Change 1–18. doi: 10.1007/s10584-015-1485-0. View article as PDF or on the journal website.


Paper on climate metrics in Climatic Change

Harmsen JHM, Berg M van den, Krey V, et al (2016) How climate metrics affect global mitigation strategies and costs: a multi-model study. Climatic Change 1–14. doi: 10.1007/s10584-016-1603-7. View article as PDF or on the journal website.

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