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Rejoinder to the review of our article „Making or breaking climate targets – the AMPERE study on staged accession scenarios for climate policy“ by Rich Rosen in the Journal Technological Forecasting & Social Change"
On March 4, the journal Technological Forecasting & Social Change published a review by Rich Rosen (Rosen, 2015, Critical review of: “Making or breaking climate targets — the AMPERE study on staged accession scenarios for climate policy”, Article in Press) of one of our papers in the AMPERE special issue on the economics of climate stabilization (Kriegler et al., 2015, Technological Forecasting & Social Change, Volume 90A: 24-44). Unfortunately, the review is riddled by erroneous statements and deep misconceptions revealing a lack of understanding of climate change economics and integrated assessment modeling. We provide a comprehensive rejoinder here:
AMPERE results feature in reports by the IPCC and by the White House
AMPERE made a major contribution to the Working Group III report of the IPCC. It provided relevant insights on the consequences of delayed mitigation and a large number of scenarios on delay, technology limitations, and international fragmentation. It also contributed a methodology to connect emissions scenarios with climate outcomes consistent with the findings of Working Group I of the IPCC.
AMPERE was also cited by the White House's Council of Economic Advisers in the report The Cost of Delaying Action to Stem Climate Change, which stresses that delaying climate policy might enhance costs substantially and that inaction is likely to cause persistent economic damages.
AMPERE conference discussed scenarios for future EU & global climate policy
The final AMPERE conference on Europe's role in future global climate policy was a booked-out event in Brussels on January 21, 2014 at the Centre for European Policy Studies. Presenters from the European Commission, the AMPERE consortium, and stakeholders and experts from the EU, China and USA discussed their insights on climate change mitigation pathways, the role of technology, and the role of European climate policy. You can view workshop presentations and proceedings here.
AMPERE REPORT SYNTHESISES FINDINGS ON GLOBAL AND EUROPEAN MITIGATION PATHWAYS
The report, titled Assessing Pathways toward Ambitious Climate Targets at the Global and European Levels, presents the following key findings from the AMPERE project:
- Global progress to reduce greenhouse gas emissions over the next two decades is crucial for achieving ambitious climate targets at low costs
- Europe can signal the will for strong emissions reductions - with large climate benefits if others follow
- Decarbonisation holds challenges and opportunities for Europe
These findings are based on the AMPERE research efforts by 22 international institutions from February 2011 to January 2014 with the use of 17 energy-economy and integrated assessment models.
The report can be downloaded here:
This is a reduced-size PDF. For a file with higher resolution or if you are interested in hard copies of the report, please contact us.
AMPERE input to EU consultation on 2030 framework
In response to a public consultation for the European Commission's on-going development of a 2030 framework for climate and energy policies, Prof. Pantelis Capros, as coordinator of AMPERE Work Package 5, has provided insights from the AMPERE project. Based on the WP 5 research, Prof. Capros emphasises the importance of strong climate mitigation action during the decade of 2020 to 2030 for a cost-effective path toward the EU’s climate mitigation objectives for 2050. This would include emission reduction targets for 2030 of at least 40% below 1990 levels as well as policies for overcoming non-market barriers to energy efficiency and encouraging the diffusion of advanced technologies.
You can download the WP5 input to the consultation here:
ampere consultation eu 2030 climate policy.pdf
The relevant WP5 research results were generated by the following AMPERE partners:
ICCS, CPB, ERASME, IIASA, TU Wien, Universität Stuttgart.
AMPERE Findings Discussed in Second Stakeholder Workshop
The second AMPERE stakeholder workshop was hosted in Brussels by the Centre for European Policy Studies on June 12, 2013. Twenty-five participants, including representatives from the European Commission, industry, research institutions, and consultancies participated in three discussion topics:
- Stakeholder perspectives: European and international emission targets, and how to get there
- Making or breaking climate targets: the roles of technologies, timing and international coverage
- Focus on Europe: pathways to decarbonisation between carbon leakage and lock-in
View proceedings and presentations from this workshop here
Key AMPERE studies conducted
In January 2013, the AMPERE teams achieved a key objective of the project by conducting studies on the role of path dependency in energy systems and incomplete regional policy coverage for mitigation pathways. The findings are based on AMPERE work packages 1, 2 and 3, including data from twelve global integrated assessment models supplemented with climate model data.
The combined findings from these studies provide insights into issues such as:
- implications of near-term policies for the costs and attainability of long-term climate objectives
- the climate change mitigation potential and cost of unilateral early European Union action
- the rate, timing, and intensity of climate change under delayed or fragmented mitigation scenarios
For more information on these studies and other AMPERE progress updates, see the second AMPERE newsletter:
Researchers exchange expertise on technology and model validation
On May 27-29, 2013, the Institute of Prospective Technology Studies (IPTS), an AMPERE partner and part of the European Commission's Joint Research Centre, hosted workshops on modeling technology progress and on the evaluation and validation of models at their offices in Sevilla, Spain. Each of these two workshops involved more than 45 participants, including invited experts, AMPERE partners and scientific advisers. Fruitful discussions resulted from the exchange among members of the integrated assessment modelling community and other areas of technical, economic and environmental modelling.
- View presentations from the AMPERE Technology Workshop
- View presentations from the AMPERE Validation Workshop